Isn’t it true that criminals know he won’t prosecute and so crimes are becoming more brazen? Are car and home break-ins skyrocketing because criminals “know they will get away with it”?
Unlike the DA’s prosecution rates–which are either in line or higher than his predecessors–SFPD’s clearance rates have plummeted since Chesa took office, solving on average less than 10% of crime and a shocking less than 1% of crimes like auto break-ins. Chief Scott recently admitted to the Police Commission that SFPD doesn’t even try to investigate or follow up on most car break-ins.
Evidence shows that what deters crime is not the length of sentence but the likelihood of getting caught. With theft in San Francisco, people believe they can get away with it because most of them do–they’re never caught by police. In SF, if you commit a car break-in you are more than 99% likely to get away with it.
That said, Boudin’s charging rates are comparable to and often higher than his predecessor. In the two areas mentioned above: prosecution rates for auto burglaries were HIGHER in 2021 and 2022 (67.3%) than 2011 - 2019 (63.35%). Prosecution rates for home burglaries were 69.6% in 2021 and 2022 compared with 68.77 from 2011 - 2019.